New York House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sean Patrick Maloney a 50% chance of winning the New York House 2016 primary. Sean Patrick Maloney won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Sean Patrick Maloney — 50% model odds (won)
2. Sean Patrick Maloney — 50% model odds
3. Sean Patrick Maloney — 0% model odds
4. Sean Patrick Maloney — 0% model odds
5. Phil Oliva — 0% model odds
6. Phil Oliva — 0% model odds
7. Phil Oliva — 0% model odds
8. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts