New York House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Joseph Crowley a 100% chance of winning the New York House 2016 primary. Joseph Crowley won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Joseph Crowley — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Joseph Crowley — 0% model odds
  3. Joseph Crowley — 0% model odds
  4. Frank J. Spotorno — 0% model odds
  5. Frank J. Spotorno — 0% model odds
  6. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts