New York House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Hakeem S. Jeffries a 100% chance of winning the New York House 2016 primary. Hakeem S. Jeffries won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Hakeem S. Jeffries — 100% model odds (won)
2. Hakeem S. Jeffries — 0% model odds
3. Daniel J. Cavanagh — 0% model odds
4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts