New York House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kathleen M. Rice a 100% chance of winning the New York House 2016 primary. Kathleen M. Rice won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kathleen M. Rice — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Kathleen M. Rice — 0% model odds
  3. David H. Gurfein — 0% model odds
  4. David H. Gurfein — 0% model odds
  5. David H. Gurfein — 0% model odds
  6. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts