New York House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Thomas R. Suozzi a 62% chance of winning the New York House 2016 primary. Thomas R. Suozzi won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Thomas R. Suozzi — 62% model odds (won)
2. Jack M. Martins — 13% model odds
3. Jack M. Martins — 13% model odds
4. Jack M. Martins — 13% model odds
5. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts