New York House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Peter T. King a 33% chance of winning the New York House 2016 primary. Peter T. King won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Peter T. King — 33% model odds (won)
2. Peter T. King — 33% model odds
3. Peter T. King — 33% model odds
4. Du Wayne Gregory — 0% model odds
5. Du Wayne Gregory — 0% model odds
6. Du Wayne Gregory — 0% model odds
7. Du Wayne Gregory — 0% model odds
8. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts