New York House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lee M. Zeldin a 28% chance of winning the New York House 2016 primary. Lee M. Zeldin won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Lee M. Zeldin — 28% model odds (won)
2. Lee M. Zeldin — 28% model odds
3. Lee M. Zeldin — 28% model odds
4. Lee M. Zeldin — 8% model odds
5. Anna E. Throne-Holst — 8% model odds
6. Anna E. Throne-Holst — 0% model odds
7. Anna E. Throne-Holst — 0% model odds
8. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts