Nevada Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Catherine Cortez Masto a 56% chance of winning the Nevada Senate 2016 primary. Catherine Cortez Masto won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Catherine Cortez Masto — 56% model odds (won)
  2. Joe Heck — 44% model odds
  3. Of These Candidates — 0% model odds
  4. Tom Jones — 0% model odds
  5. Thomas "Tom" Sawyer — 0% model odds
  6. Tony Gumina — 0% model odds
  7. Jarrod M. Williams — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts