Nevada House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ruben Kihuen a 56% chance of winning the Nevada House 2016 primary. Ruben Kihuen won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Ruben Kihuen — 56% model odds (won)
2. Cresent Hardy — 44% model odds
3. Steve Brown — 0% model odds
4. Mike Little — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts