Nevada House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Danny Tarkanian a 56% chance of winning the Nevada House 2016 primary. Jacky Rosen won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Danny Tarkanian — 56% model odds
- Jacky Rosen — 44% model odds (won)
- Warren Markowitz — 0% model odds
- David Goossen — 0% model odds