New Mexico House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Steve Pearce a 100% chance of winning the New Mexico House 2016 primary. Steve Pearce won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Steve Pearce — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Merrie Lee Soules — 0% model odds
  3. Jack A. Mcgrann — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts