New Jersey House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Rodney P. Frelinghuysen a 57% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2016 primary. Rodney P. Frelinghuysen won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Rodney P. Frelinghuysen — 57% model odds (won)
2. Joseph M. Wenzel — 43% model odds
3. Thomas Depasquale — 0% model odds
4. Jeff Hetrick — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts