New Jersey House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Leonard Lance a 100% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2016 primary. Leonard Lance won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Leonard Lance — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Peter Jacob — 0% model odds
  3. Dan O'Neill — 0% model odds
  4. Arthur T., Jr. Haussmann — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts