New Jersey House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Frank, Jr. Pallone a 100% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2016 primary. Frank, Jr. Pallone won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Frank, Jr. Pallone — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Brent Sonnek-Schmelz — 0% model odds
  3. Rajit B. Malliah — 0% model odds
  4. Judith Shamy — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts