New Jersey House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Joshua S. Gottheimer an 89% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2016 primary. Joshua S. Gottheimer won, matching the model's top pick.
- Joshua S. Gottheimer — 89% model odds (won)
- Scott Garrett — 11% model odds
- Claudio Belusic — 0% model odds