New Jersey House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Christopher H. Smith a 100% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2016 primary. Christopher H. Smith won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Christopher H. Smith — 100% model odds (won)
2. Lorna Phillipson — 0% model odds
3. Hank Schroeder — 0% model odds
4. Jeremy Marcus — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts