New Jersey House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tom Macarthur a 100% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2016 primary. Tom Macarthur won, matching the model's top pick.
- Tom Macarthur — 100% model odds (won)
- Frederick John Lavergne — 0% model odds
- Lawrence W., Jr. Berlinski — 0% model odds