New Jersey House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Donald W. Norcross a 100% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2016 primary. Donald W. Norcross won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Donald W. Norcross — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Bob Patterson — 0% model odds
  3. Scot John Tomaszewski — 0% model odds
  4. William F., Iv Sihr — 0% model odds
  5. Michael Berman — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts