New Hampshire Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Maggie Hassan a 50% chance of winning the New Hampshire Senate 2016 primary. Maggie Hassan won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Maggie Hassan — 50% model odds (won)
2. Kelly Ayotte — 50% model odds
3. Aaron Day — 0% model odds
4. Brian Chabot — 0% model odds
5. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts