New Hampshire House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Carol Shea-Porter a 79% chance of winning the New Hampshire House 2016 primary. Carol Shea-Porter won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Carol Shea-Porter — 79% model odds (won)
  2. Frank Guinta — 21% model odds
  3. Rich Ashooh — 0% model odds
  4. Shawn P. O'Connor — 0% model odds
  5. Brendan Kelly — 0% model odds
  6. Robert Lombardo — 0% model odds
  7. Scattered — 0% model odds
  8. John Potucek — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts