Mississippi House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Trent Kelly a 69% chance of winning the Mississippi House 2016 primary. Trent Kelly won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Trent Kelly — 69% model odds (won)
  2. Cathy L. Toole — 31% model odds
  3. Jacob Owens — 0% model odds
  4. Chase Wilson — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts