Missouri House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Vicky Hartzler a 100% chance of winning the Missouri House 2016 primary. Vicky Hartzler won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Vicky Hartzler — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Gordon Christensen — 0% model odds
  3. Mark Bliss — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts