Missouri House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ann Wagner a 69% chance of winning the Missouri House 2016 primary. Ann Wagner won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Ann Wagner — 69% model odds (won)
2. David Justus Arnold — 31% model odds
3. Bill Otto — 0% model odds
4. Jim Higgins — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts