Minnesota House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dave Hughes a 63% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2016 primary. Collin Peterson won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Dave Hughes — 63% model odds
  2. Collin Peterson — 37% model odds (won)
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts