Minnesota House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tom Emmer an 86% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2016 primary. Tom Emmer won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Tom Emmer — 86% model odds (won)
2. David Snyder — 14% model odds
3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts