Minnesota House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Keith Ellison a 100% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2016 primary. Keith Ellison won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Keith Ellison — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Frank Nelson Drake — 0% model odds
  3. Dennis Schuller — 0% model odds
  4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts