Minnesota House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Erik Paulsen a 100% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2016 primary. Erik Paulsen won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Erik Paulsen — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Terri E. Bonoff — 0% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts