Minnesota House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jason Lewis a 69% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2016 primary. Jason Lewis won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jason Lewis — 69% model odds (won)
  2. Angie Craig — 31% model odds
  3. Paula Overby — 0% model odds
  4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts