Michigan House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Anil Kumar a 52% chance of winning the Michigan House 2016 primary. David A. Trott won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Anil Kumar — 52% model odds
  2. David A. Trott — 48% model odds (won)
  3. Kerry Bentivolio — 0% model odds
  4. Jonathan Ray Osment — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts