Michigan House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Paul Mitchell a 69% chance of winning the Michigan House 2016 primary. Paul Mitchell won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Paul Mitchell — 69% model odds (won)
  2. Benjamin Nofs — 31% model odds
  3. Frank, Jr. Accavitti — 0% model odds
  4. Lisa Lane Gioia — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts