Michigan House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Paul Clements an 88% chance of winning the Michigan House 2016 primary. Fred Upton won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Paul Clements — 88% model odds
- Fred Upton — 12% model odds (won)
- Lorence Wenke — 0% model odds
- Richard Miller Overton — 0% model odds