Michigan House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Daniel T. Kildee a 79% chance of winning the Michigan House 2016 primary. Daniel T. Kildee won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Daniel T. Kildee — 79% model odds (won)
  2. Al Hardwick — 11% model odds
  3. Harley Mikkelson — 11% model odds
  4. Steve Sluka — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts