Michigan House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Moolenaar a 69% chance of winning the Michigan House 2016 primary. John Moolenaar won, matching the model's top pick.

1. John Moolenaar — 69% model odds (won)
2. Jordan Salvi — 31% model odds
3. Debra Wirth — 0% model odds
4. Leonard Schwartz — 0% model odds
5. George M. Zimmer — 0% model odds
6. Keith Butkovich — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts