Michigan House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Justin Amash a 100% chance of winning the Michigan House 2016 primary. Justin Amash won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Justin Amash — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Douglas Smith — 0% model odds
  3. Ted Gerrard — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts