Michigan House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jack Bergman a 44% chance of winning the Michigan House 2016 primary. Jack Bergman won, matching the model's top pick.
- Jack Bergman — 44% model odds (won)
- Ellis Boal — 44% model odds
- Lon Johnson — 12% model odds
- Diane Bostow — 0% model odds