Maine House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bruce Poliquin a 43% chance of winning the Maine House 2016 primary. Bruce Poliquin won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Bruce Poliquin — 43% model odds (won)
2. Emily Ann Cain — 31% model odds
3. Jay Parker Dresser — 25% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts