Maryland Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chris Van Hollen a 100% chance of winning the Maryland Senate 2016 primary. Chris Van Hollen won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Chris Van Hollen — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Kathy Szeliga — 0% model odds
  3. Margaret Flowers — 0% model odds
  4. Scattered — 0% model odds
  5. Greg Dorsey — 0% model odds
  6. Ed Tinus — 0% model odds
  7. Lih Young — 0% model odds
  8. Charles U. Smith — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts