Maryland House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Elijah Cummings a 100% chance of winning the Maryland House 2016 primary. Elijah Cummings won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Elijah Cummings — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Corrogan R. Vaughn — 0% model odds
  3. Myles B. Hoeing — 0% model odds
  4. William T. Newton — 0% model odds
  5. Michael T. Pearson — 0% model odds
  6. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts