Maryland House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Sarbanes a 100% chance of winning the Maryland House 2016 primary. John Sarbanes won, matching the model's top pick.

1. John Sarbanes — 100% model odds (won)
2. Mark Plaster — 0% model odds
3. Nnabu Eze — 0% model odds
4. Ann Dalrymple — 0% model odds
5. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts