Kentucky Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Rand Paul a 100% chance of winning the Kentucky Senate 2016 primary. Rand Paul won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Rand Paul — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Jim Gray — 0% model odds
  3. Billy Ray Wilson — 0% model odds
  4. Angel Doss — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts