Kentucky House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave James R. Comer a 25% chance of winning the Kentucky House 2016 primary. James R. Comer won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. James R. Comer — 25% model odds (won)
  2. Samuel L. Gaskins — 25% model odds
  3. James R. Comer — 25% model odds
  4. Samuel L. Gaskins — 25% model odds
  5. Terry Mcintosh — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts