Kansas Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jerry Moran a 100% chance of winning the Kansas Senate 2016 primary. Jerry Moran won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jerry Moran — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Patrick Wiesner — 0% model odds
  3. Robert D. Garrard — 0% model odds
  4. Dj Smith — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts