Kansas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Roger Marshall a 69% chance of winning the Kansas House 2016 primary. Roger Marshall won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Roger Marshall — 69% model odds (won)
  2. Tim Huelskamp — 31% model odds
  3. Alan Lapolice — 0% model odds
  4. Kerry Burt — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts