Illinois Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tammy Duckworth a 95% chance of winning the Illinois Senate 2016 primary. Tammy Duckworth won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Tammy Duckworth — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Scott Summers — 5% model odds
  3. Mark Steven Kirk — 0% model odds
  4. Kenton Mcmillen — 0% model odds
  5. Chad Koppie — 0% model odds
  6. Jim Brown — 0% model odds
  7. Christopher Aguayo — 0% model odds
  8. Susana Sandoval — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts