Illinois House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Cheri Bustos an 82% chance of winning the Illinois House 2016 primary. Cheri Bustos won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Cheri Bustos — 82% model odds (won)
  2. Patrick Harlan — 18% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts