Illinois House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Adam Kinzinger a 100% chance of winning the Illinois House 2016 primary. Adam Kinzinger won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Adam Kinzinger — 100% model odds (won)
  2. John F. Burchardt — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts