Idaho House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Simpson an 89% chance of winning the Idaho House 2016 primary. Mike Simpson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mike Simpson — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Jennifer Martinez — 11% model odds
  3. Anthony Tomkins — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts