Iowa House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Steve King a 100% chance of winning the Iowa House 2016 primary. Steve King won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Steve King — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Kim Weaver — 0% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts