Iowa House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David Young a 63% chance of winning the Iowa House 2016 primary. David Young won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. David Young — 63% model odds (won)
  2. Jim Mowrer — 37% model odds
  3. Bryan Jack Holder — 0% model odds
  4. Claudia Addy — 0% model odds
  5. Joe Grandanette — 0% model odds
  6. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts