Iowa House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Rod Blum a 56% chance of winning the Iowa House 2016 primary. Rod Blum won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Rod Blum — 56% model odds (won)
  2. Monica Vernon — 44% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts